- _compute_text_similarity() now checks outcome names with bidirectional
substring matching (0.85) and token overlap (0.7), not just event titles
- Collect outcomes from ALL active markets per event, filter to >1% price
- Reorder outcome_prices to surface topic-matching outcome before top-3 truncation
- Add SKILL.md "Prediction Markets" synthesis section with structural/long-term
market preference, domain examples, citation format, and narrative weaving
- Add Polymarket to citation priority list between HN and Web
- Update stats box template to show up to 5 market odds
- Fix render.py "vol24h" label to "volume"
- Add NCAA seed fixture event for outcome-only matching tests
- 82 polymarket tests pass (14 new)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Polymarket results now rank by text similarity, volume, liquidity, price
movement, and competitive score instead of API return position. Also fixes
pagination (DEPTH_CONFIG now controls page count, not a no-op limit param)
and caps results after re-ranking.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Search Polymarket's free Gamma API for relevant prediction markets on any
topic. Uses smart multi-query expansion to cast a wider net (e.g., "Arizona
Basketball" also searches "Arizona"), merges and dedupes by event ID, and
shows price movement context ("up 22.5% this week"). No API key required.
Also hides sources with zero results from the stats output (all sources).
54 new tests, all passing. Full pipeline integration with scoring, dedupe,
cross-source linking, and rendering.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Matt Van Horn