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feat(polymarket): add Polymarket prediction markets as 6th research source

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Search Polymarket's free Gamma API for relevant prediction markets on any
topic. Uses smart multi-query expansion to cast a wider net (e.g., "Arizona
Basketball" also searches "Arizona"), merges and dedupes by event ID, and
shows price movement context ("up 22.5% this week"). No API key required.

Also hides sources with zero results from the stats output (all sources).

54 new tests, all passing. Full pipeline integration with scoring, dedupe,
cross-source linking, and rendering.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Matt Van Horn
2026-02-25 22:27:19 -08:00
parent 52503f8e68
commit 994a4ab2ca
17 changed files with 1699 additions and 43 deletions
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tests/test_cross_source.py
+20
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@@ -116,6 +116,26 @@ class TestCrossSourceLink(unittest.TestCase):
self.assertIn("HN1", web[0].cross_refs)
self.assertIn("W1", hn[0].cross_refs)
def _make_pm(self, id, title, score=50):
item = schema.PolymarketItem(id=id, title=title, question="Q?", url="")
item.score = score
return item
def test_polymarket_to_reddit_link(self):
reddit = [self._make_reddit("R1", "Will Arizona win the Big 12 Championship?")]
pm = [self._make_pm("PM1", "Will Arizona win the Big 12 Championship?")]
dedupe.cross_source_link(reddit, pm)
self.assertIn("PM1", reddit[0].cross_refs)
self.assertIn("R1", pm[0].cross_refs)
def test_polymarket_multi_source(self):
reddit = [self._make_reddit("R1", "Iran nuclear deal prediction markets")]
hn = [self._make_hn("HN1", "Iran nuclear deal prediction markets")]
pm = [self._make_pm("PM1", "Iran nuclear deal prediction markets")]
dedupe.cross_source_link(reddit, hn, pm)
self.assertEqual(len(reddit[0].cross_refs), 2)
self.assertEqual(len(pm[0].cross_refs), 2)
class TestCrossRefsSchemaRoundTrip(unittest.TestCase):
def test_reddit_roundtrip(self):